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Copper supply tightens as China concentrate imports fall 11%

a close up of a rope on a black background — Credit: Photo by ERIK SETH on Unsplash
Photo by ERIK SETH on Unsplash

Fresh Chinese trade data has reinforced concerns about tight copper supply, with concentrate imports falling sharply in October as smelters face mounting pressure.

China imported 2.17 million tonnes of copper concentrates in October, down 11.6% from a year earlier and 12.7% from September.

Imports over the first 10 months of 2026 were down 3.8% year-on-year.

The decline comes as Chinese smelters face negative processing fees and weaker sulphuric acid prices, with some producers signalling output cuts.

At the same time, physical copper markets in China remain tight, with reduced domestic smelter production and constrained seaborne supply pushing spot premiums higher.

That backdrop remains supportive for Australian copper producers and developers even as prices remain volatile.

The broader story is increasingly one of supply security rather than simply demand growth.