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UK economy seen growing third-fastest among G7 at 1.6% - IMF

Britain’s economy should grow third-fastest among the G7 major economies this year, despite sluggish growth at the backend of 2024.

According to the International Monetary Fund, UK economic growth should sit at 1.6%, against a previous estimate of 1.5%, over 2025.

This would place the UK ahead of rival European economies, but behind the US and Canada, where respective growth of 2.7% and 2.0% was forecast.

“Our projections incorporate recent market developments and the impact of heightened trade policy uncertainty, assumed to be temporary,” IMF economic counsellor Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said.

“But [they] refrain from making assumptions about potential policy changes that are currently under public debate.”

Estimates for UK economic growth in 2024 were trimmed though, to 0.9% from 1.1% previously.

Following a period of stagnation, surging public spending was set to buoy growth, with central bank interest rate cutting also expected to help.