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Direct Line upgraded to 'buy' as restructuring benefits underappreciated, says Citi

Direct Line Insurance Group PLC (LSE:DLG) has been upgraded to a buy by US group Citi with the target price being raised to 223p irrespective of the motor insurance pricing cycle.

Shares are down 12% since the end of May but Citi sees the underlying motor trends as favourable with UK Motor claims improving, but the US bank sees a big contribution from non-motor.

Citi also has more confidence in restructuring given the extent of people change and has raised its 2026 EPS estimate by 12% and is now 14% ahead of the 2026 consensus.

Shares rose 0.5% to 187.7p on Wednesday.