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German economy expected to flatline this year - economists

Germany’s economic growth is set to be sluggish this year as inflation, high interest and weak exports continue to bite, economists have warned.

Europe’s largest economy could expand by just 0.1% over the course of 2024 as a result, a group of five think tanks said on Wednesday, compared to initial anticipations for growth of 1.3%.

“Cyclical and structural factors are overlapping in the sluggish overall economic development,” Kiel Institute for the World Economy head Stefan Kooths said.

“Although a recovery is likely to set in from the spring, the overall momentum will not be too strong.”

German gross domestic product (GDP) sank by 0.3% over the course of 2023, with the figure contracting by 0.2% over the final three months of the year.

Consumer inflation is indeed set to subside, with the think tanks forecasting an average of 2.3% over the year, compared to 5.9% in 2023.

Unemployment is set to marginally increase meanwhile, to a rate of 5.8% for 2024, against last year’s 5.7%.

“Economic output is currently at a level that is barely higher than before the pandemic. Since then, productivity in Germany has been at a standstill,” the report said.