Burberry outlook uncertain as luxury headwinds mount, say brokers
Interims are due on 16 November and are expected to show sales are slowing
Company
LON:BRBY
Burberry Group designs, sources, manufactures and distributes luxury mens, womens and childrenswear and non-apparel accessories globally through its own retail stores, concessions and wholesale customers. Burberry also licenses third parties to manufacture and distribute products using the Burberry trademarks. The Company's non–apparel offerings include handbags, soft accessories, such as scarves, small leather goods, shoes, belts and jewellery.
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Interims are due on 16 November and are expected to show sales are slowing
Does Hermès or Hugo Boss make the grade?
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Burberry will update on first quarter trading next week
The Square Mile is taking a wait-and-see approach to the luxury clothing group
The luxury retailer saw EMEA sales rise 34% as tourist numbers more than doubled, while Asian sales returned to growth in the second quarter compared to a decline in quarter one
Tom Ford, founder and CEO of the brand, will continue to serve as the brand's creative visionary until the end of next year
Additionally, the group should receive a boost from easing lockdown measures in China
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Britain's blue-chip benchmark finished Friday around 57 points down, or 0.78%, at 7,318
Lee had this role at Italy's Bottega Veneta from 2018 to 2021 and also worked at Balenciaga, Celine, Donna Karan and Maison Margiela
While a weak pound is seen as a negative, there are some businesses and people that will view it as a positive
Brown joined Burberry six years ago and is leaving to take up an opportunity outside of the industry
China’s Gen Zers continue to sell Rolexes and Hermès handbags, leading to a cheaper secondary market
Currency arbitrage could drive share price appreciation at the retailer in the year ahead
Growth was strongest outside China, which analysts estimate comprises about a third of the retailer’s global business
Britain's premier share index finished on Friday up around 111 points, or 1.58%, to stand at 7,151
One third of fashion brand’s business exposed to Chinese retail trends
Analysts estimate that one-third of Burberry’s business is exposed to the Chinese market
Hold is the broker's view but with a lower price target
Hold is the broker's view but with a lower price target
Revenue growth was delivered “despite a continuing challenging external environment”
In an January update, the board stuck to its medium-term guidance for high single-digit top line growth and said it expects adjusting operating profit for the year to grow 35%
The company sticks with its medium-term guidance for high single-digit top line growth
Shares in the luxury designer dropped as low as 9% earlier on Thursday
The luxury designer is on track to become carbon neutral and source 100% renewable electricity across its own operations by early 2022, and at COP26 in Glasgow this month it announced a new biodiversity strategy
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Burberry Group Plc and WH Smith are among the notable names in the diary for Thursday.
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Aviva, AstraZeneca and Persimmon will also be big names on the corporate calendar
Fashion industry veteran Jonathan Akeroyd is replacing Marco Gobbetti
The luxury designer is trading at a historical high relative discount to its peers and will be headed by new management soon
Chinese consumers accounted for 35% of luxury goods sales in 2019 and 28% in 2020
The Swiss-based brand, named after its German designer, will accept 15 digital currencies including Bitcoin and Ethereum and its physical stores and online
Sales trends are encouraging but some investors are worried that chief designer Riccardo Tisci could leave
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There are reports that the Chancellor of the Exchequer may delay the budget until next year
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There may also be eyes on the macro diary with the latest US retail sales figures due at the end of the week
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At the close, the UK blue-chip index was 3.54 points, or 0.05% higher at 7,125.42, below the late session peak of 7,134.87 but well above the session low of 7,066.20
“We believe new management in 2022 would potentially not need to materially change the strategy and would find a clean situation", analysts said
The trenchcoat designer may become a target even if sales have improved recently
Marco Gobbetti said he wants to move back to Italy to be closer to family
The shares closed the day down 4.2% and were off almost 9% earlier in a roller coaster session
The luxury group expects solid revenue growth in the current financial year
China is a huge market for Burberry and the brand is incredibly popular
Revenue and adjusted operating profit are expected to be ahead of consensus
Analysts say the investment case hinges on the turnaround but there are no signs of momentum yet
Sales are expected to be hit significantly once coronavirus-related travel restrictions are eased
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Joe Biden's formal ascent to the US presidency will be dominating the headlines mid-week, however, there will be plenty of updates from the corporate diary to keep UK investors occupied beforehand
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Stop watching that documentary on slow-drying paint and check out the London stock market instead
The fashion designer has seen an improvement in sales in the second quarter but new lockdowns are expected to hit trading
Analysts believe the fashion designer will beat its second-quarter retail like-for-like estimated fall of 15-20%
The new masks cost £90 each and are available in Burberry check and pale blue
Despite the upgrade, Jefferies said they expected the luxury brand will “take longer to recover" from its pandemic downturn than some of its "better peers"
A partnership with Tencent brings social media interactions into a physical retail environment through a dedicated WeChat mini program
Sales in mainland China grew in the mid-teens in the first quarter, while in the EMEIA region were down around 75%
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Footsie finished up almost 113 points, or 1.83%, at 6,292, while the midcap FTSE 250 gained nearly 246 points, or 1.43%, at 17,420
The clothing firms find themselves potentially facing a spending squeeze as consumers prioritise essential goods amid an economic downturn
Cumulative sales in China and Korea since the beginning of April are ahead of the prior year, the group said
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Britain's blue-chip benchmark finished down nearly 22 points at 5,993. The intraday low was 5,888. The high was 6,015.
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UK retail sales figures for April are also on the agenda
While it did raise its target price for the clothing group, UBS continued to rate the stock at 'sell' and warned an unwillingness of consumers to travel was the “biggest single risk to earnings in the luxury goods sector”
Burberry has re-purposed its coat factory in Castleford, UK to produce personal protection equipment (PPE)
The group's board of directors have also taken a voluntary 20% pay cut from April to June, with the equivalent cash to be donated to charity
Analysts do not expect a strong uptick in demand once the pandemic is over, while inventory will have to be heavily discounted
In total, around 40% of the luxury good chain's stores are closed
The Swiss bank said the share price was pricing in gains that they said were “unachievable given limits to cost cutting and the need to ramp up brand investments”
Analysts said the luxury brand's exposure to Asia, which accounted for 40% of its revenues last year, implied “a greater risk” to incomes due to its large local presence
The Swiss bank has predicted that the slowdown will be similar to that caused by the 1997 Asian financial crisis
The closures hit sales in China and Hong Kong while spending of Chinese customers in tourist destinations has suffered less
Capri, which also owns Versace and Jimmy Choo, said the impact on revenues could be greater if the situation gets worse
“We think its best years are still ahead and the shares become a buy on periodic scares about China,” the stock picker said
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Britain's blue-chip benchmark finished over 70 points higher at 7,482
A trifecta of political unrest in Hong Kong, US trade war tensions and the coronavirus outbreak are all threatening to upset one the luxury brand's crucial markets
Revenue for the year to March is expected to grow by a low single-digit percentage, as opposed to flat sales anticipated in November’s interim results
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The midcap FTSE 250 though gained over 17 points to finish at 21,782.
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The luxury goods firm is in the second year of chief executive Marco Gobbetti's plan to shift the brand further upmarket under new creative director Riccardo Tisci
The coming week will also see updates from easyJet, Sage, Fevertree, Wetherspoons and Marston's
The FTSE 100 luxury brand said its adjusted operating profit fell 4% to £187mln compared to the same period last year, thanks to lower margins and disruption in Hong Kong
Updates are also due from property developer Great Portland Estates and transport firm FirstGroup on Thursday
There was also some good news in China, where sales grew by a mid-teens percentage
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The UK's premier share index finished around 45 points higher, at 7,577
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There’s a bit more for investors to get their teeth into on Tuesday
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The UK's premier share index finished almost 26 points higher at 7,531, while FTSE 250 gained over 32 points at 19,584
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It looks set to be a busy week of corporate announcements and UK economic data
Burberry shares haven’t enjoyed the kind of rises seen in other luxury goods stocks, which now means it trades at a 20% discount to the sector