AB Foods surging in 2023 but Primark still playing pre-pandemic catch up
Interim results are due on Tuesday for the FTSE 100-listed clothing retailer and food producer
Company
LON:ABF
Associated British Foods is a diversified international food, ingredients and retail group with sales of £10.2 billion and 97,000 employees in 44 countries.
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Interim results are due on Tuesday for the FTSE 100-listed clothing retailer and food producer
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Around 3.50pm, the FTSE 100 index was ahead 56 points, or 0.7%, at 7,934
Primark is among high street retailers “bouncing back” while online spending slows, according to Barclays
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At the close of trading Tuesday, the FTSE 100 had fallen 24 points to 7,757 for a 0.4% loss on the day
Importantly, the trial should be seen as a steppingstone to increase Primark’s addressable market
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Here’s Proactive’s round-up of the top financial stories of the day, with helpful links taking you directly to the news
Customers will be able to shop from the comfort of their homes and collect in-store, a move Primark hopes will drive higher footfall and lead to incremental sales in its shops
Here’s Proactive’s round-up of the top financial stories of the day, with helpful links taking you directly to the news
'External environment from the commencement of the pandemic has thrown up many more challenges than opportunities for ABF' said the analysts
ABF was boosted by sales at its clothing arm Primark, which saw a "significant increase in customer footfall and sales densities" after Covid restrictions were eased
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The UK's blue-chip index stayed quiet on Tuesday, finishing at 7,306 points for a 0.1% gain on the day
Whilst not the busiest of days in the calendar there’s a number of closely followed stocks set to update the market on Tuesday.
So called fast-fashion and high street retail is in the spotlight amidst the cost of living crisis.
The Swiss bank analysts said they expect AB Foods' shares to perform "in line with (the) market until there is evidence of some progress on sales/margin trends"
The Deutsche Bank analysts said: "Whilst the shares took another leg down on the profit warning, we think much is now incorporated in the valuation and remain Hold rated but lower our target price"
Here’s Proactive’s round-up of the top financial stories of the day, with helpful links taking you directly to the news
Primark became one of the first to say it will not hike its prices any further
The Barclays analysts said: "Until we get more visibility on the numerous moving parts, we take our rating down to EW and lower our PT to £15 (from £23)"
ABF said market volatility, cost inflation, and much higher energy costs will all adversely impact sales at Primark
The broker has lowered ratings, profit forecasts and price targets across the UK retail sector.
Click & collect service allows could allow Primark to trade online whilst avoiding the costs of setting up delivery operations
The challenges facing the retail sector are thorny and multi-faceted, according to analysts
Value retailer Primark appears to have bucked the trend
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At the close, the UK blue-chip index was 105.56 points, or 1.5% higher at 7,121.81, not far below the session peak of 7,129.64 and well above the early session low of 7,016.15
There are also results due from Micro Focus, James Cropper, Liontrust Asset Management, Safestore, Telecom Plus,
Major retailers including Asos and Halfords issued profit warnings this week as consumer purses continue to tighten
"From our research, we are unlikely to see the cost of living pressures easing soon," the report said
Deutsche Bank said it has more certainty on margin declines and less certainty on sales development
Low price-point retailers like Primark are likely to bear the brunt of rising inflation and the cost-of-living crisis
The group cautioned that inflationary pressures will lead to a greater reduction in margins than previously expected in the second half
Deutsche Bank cites home categories as worst placed for inflation
Sales are expected to have grown by 60% in Primark compared to last year
Inflationary pressures resulted in some price increases in its food businesses
"These bonds will diversify the source of funding for the group. They will enhance our liquidity and support the continued investment for growth in our businesses," said AB Foods finance director John Bason
400 jobs are going in UK from Primark due to a management restructuring
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All three US indices are trading higher after a massive sell-off
Will high expectations be dashed by a so-called Omicron squeeze on retail? The high-volume clothes retailer's parent reports on Thursday
Amid rising COVID-19 cases, the FTSE 100-listed group said its five stores in Austria had been shuttered, trading hours were being restricted in the Netherlands and that vaccine passes were being required in Germany
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London's blue chips slip as US stocks remain higher midday
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UK gross domestic product data will also be released, showing how the economy was bouncing back
The Primark-owner was boosted by a trading update this week.
The fast-fashion retailer is opening more stores, improving the existing ones and showcasing more products online, but still won't sell anything on its website
The fast-fashion retailer is estimated to claw back at least the estimated £2bn of sales lost due to store closures last financial year
At the close, the UK blue-chip index was 26.36 points, or 0.4% lower at 7,274.04, above the session low of 7,268.79, but well below the day’s peak of 7,314.13
The folks at Jefferies say the City's price-setters have such a downer on ABF that they’ve somewhat overdone the gloom
Some analysts reckon the extra investment is a hint that an e-commerce platform will be on its way
The fast-fashion retailer has fewer staff, which is resulting in higher profit margin even though sales dropped
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FTSE finished the day 41 points, or 0.6%, higher at 7,070
While Gap will operate in the UK and Ireland as an online-only business, Primark is unlikely to establish an e-commerce platform given its success in stores
Quarterly sales at the fast-fashion designer were above last year's and the previous year's levels
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At the close, the UK blue-chip index was down 63.10 points, or nearly 0.9% at 7,072.97, just fractionally above the session low of 7,071.95
Tuesday's dip may be due to profit-taking after a strong run recently
The Grocery, Sugar, Agriculture and Ingredients segments will normalise after an exceptional interim performance
The day's agenda also includes trading statements from Avast, Moneysupermarket.com and Petra Diamonds, along with an update on UK unemployment numbers
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Other firms in the diary for the week include Moneysupermarket and Rentokil, while over the US earnings season will pick up the pace with numbers from Netflix, Intel, Johnson & Johnson and others
Working from home practices and social distancing measures are expected to weigh on sales
As expected, shoppers were queuing outside of several Primark sites across the country, while pubs with 24-hour licences opened at midnight
The clothier said 83% of its retail selling space should be trading by April 26
“Diversity is good for the board because it brings better perspective, it is better for decision-making and increasingly important for the legitimacy of companies"
The fast-fashion retailer will not set up an e-commerce platform despite the current closures are racking up losses
The fast-fashion retailer does not have an e-commerce platform so cannot compensate for the lack of sales during lockdown
The group noted that, as of January 1, 2021, 253 of its Primark clothing retail stores will be temporarily closed, representing 64% of its total retail selling space
Trading across the grocery, sugar, ingredients and agriculture divisions has also been ahead of both last year and market expectations
The conglomerate estimated a cash burn of £375mln from the new round of closures
The clothing retailer is expected to have lost £2bn of sales and some £650mln of profit as a result of COVID-19 in the financial year to mid-September
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Associated British Foods will release its full-year results a day after putting out an update on the expected impact of a new UK lockdown
As of Monday, all the fast-fashion sites in the Republic of Ireland, France, Belgium, Wales, Catalonia in Spain and Slovenia are temporarily closed, which represent 19% of the FTSE 100 group’s total retail selling space
“At a time when other major clothing retailers are restructuring and closing down huge numbers of bricks and mortar stores, Primark’s growth in footprint is remarkable,” said one analyst
Grocery profits were also “significantly ahead”, helped by growth from Twinings tea, Silver Spoon sugar, Jordans cereals and Acetum balsamic vinegar
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Britain's index of leading shares finished the first day of the trading week up around 138 points, or 2.39%, at 5,937
Updates and results in the week are expected from AB Foods, Morrisons, JD Sports, Fevertree Drinks, Frontier Developments, Team17 and Computaceter - plus US names such as Slack and Peleton
Cashflow is expected to improve due to lower capital expenditure and working capital intensity
“Our latest apparel pricing survey shows Primark is maintaining its price leadership," said Chamberlain.
The discount clothing chain put around 30,000 UK workers on furlough during the lockdown, which forced the closure of all of its stores
The Canadian bank said Primark’s low prices “should position it well in a consumer downturn and protect it from online competition”
The US investment bank’s analysts pointed out that Primark's revenue decline of 75% in the third-quarter was less than their forecast
Analysts were impressed by the post-reopening results and see it as a defensive stock, but Primark still operates from bricks-and-mortar stores only
Primark sales were down 75% over the quarter as a whole but for the latter seven weeks sales were down just 12% on a like-for-like basis
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Britain's blue-chip benchmark finished up over 82 points at 6,240 on Thursday
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Thursday's corporate diary is fairly quiet, though trading updates from AB Foods and Meggitt will be keenly eyed, plus finals from DS Smith
Sleepovers for singles, the reopening of John Lewis (also Greggs and Primark) along with Premier League football behind closed doors may be iconic markers towards a 'new normal' which may or may not provide stimulus for stock market investo
All non-essential retailers in England are allowed to resume trading in shops as of 15 June
By that date, shops accounting for 79% of the fast-fashion chain's selling space will be operational
Analysts expect a boost to the economy as people come out of furlough and shoppers are encouraged by clearance sales
The well-respected broker's analysts pointed out that the absence of an online capability for Primark combined with a store-based model premised on volume is challenging even once stores reopen
Boohoo, Dunelm and Superdry are among retailers that “could get into financial difficulties” in a scenario where there is a second lockdown over Christmas, no vaccine and high unemployment for the next two years
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